

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Benfica |
| 19.84% ( | 24.83% ( | 55.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.9% ( | 55.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.65% ( | 76.35% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( | 42.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.16% ( | 78.84% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( | 19.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.02% ( | 51.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 2-1 @ 5% ( 2-0 @ 3.09% ( 3-1 @ 1.43% ( 3-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.84% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 13.63% ( 0-2 @ 11.01% ( 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0-3 @ 5.94% ( 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 1-4 @ 2.05% ( Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 62 |
| 2 | Benfica | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Porto | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 53 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 43 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 36 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | Nacional | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 23 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 43 | -27 | 15 |
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