
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 44.93%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for AVS had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Santa Clara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 26.03% ( | 29.03% ( | 44.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.77% ( | 64.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.65% ( | 83.34% ( |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.41% ( | 41.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.92% ( | 78.08% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( | 28.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.53% ( | 64.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AVS | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 3-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.2% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0-0 @ 11.91% ( 2-2 @ 3.58% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.02% | 0-1 @ 14.89% ( 0-2 @ 9.31% ( 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0-3 @ 3.88% ( 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.51% Total : 44.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
| 2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
| 3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
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