Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Dumbarton |
59.86% (![]() | 21.83% (![]() | 18.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.85% (![]() | 45.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.5% (![]() | 67.49% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.32% (![]() | 14.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.16% (![]() | 42.83% (![]() |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.6% (![]() | 38.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.85% (![]() | 75.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Dumbarton |
1-0 @ 10.81% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.35% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 5.39% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 18.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |