

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 33.17% ( | 25.46% ( | 41.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.72% ( | 48.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( | 70.43% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( | 27.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.69% ( | 63.31% ( |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( | 23.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.94% ( | 57.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.17% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
