

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 33.97% ( | 25.64% ( | 40.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% ( | 48.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.01% ( | 70.98% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( | 27.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.95% ( | 63.04% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( | 23.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.83% ( | 58.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.97% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
