

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 42.19% ( | 24.73% ( | 33.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.94% ( | 45.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.59% ( | 67.41% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( | 21.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.61% ( | 54.39% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( | 26.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.66% ( | 61.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 33.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
