

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 54.64% ( | 23.62% ( | 21.73% ( | 
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.78% ( | 48.21% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.63% ( | 70.37% ( | 
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.47% ( | 17.53% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.95% ( | 48.05% ( | 
| Alloa Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.42% ( | 36.57% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.63% ( | 73.36% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 54.64%  | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.62%  | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.73%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 | 
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 | 
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 | 
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 | 
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 | 
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
