Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli2 - 2Venezia
We said: Empoli 1-1 Venezia
One of the worst home sides in Serie A, Empoli cannot buy a win at the Castellani, and draw specialists Venezia are set to stop them on Sunday. The visitors are enjoying their best run of the season, so they can claim at least one point against direct relegation rivals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Venezia |
34.63% ( -1.05) | 28.45% ( 0.11) | 36.92% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 46.42% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
