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Serie A

Genoa logo
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Empoli logo

Genoa
1 - 1
Empoli

Vasquez (81')
Zanoli (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grassi (36')
Colombo (37'), Maleh (45'), Henderson (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Genoa
Saturday, February 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Empoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Empoli (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 26 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawEmpoli
51.59% (0.19 0.19)25.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.89% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 48.08% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)54.53% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (-0.127 -0.13)75.88% (0.125 0.13)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.01700000000001 0.02)21.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (0.027999999999999 0.03)54.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (-0.267 -0.27)39% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (-0.255 -0.25)75.73% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 51.58%
    Empoli 22.89%
    Draw 25.51%
GenoaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.95% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 51.58%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 22.89%

How you voted: Genoa vs Empoli

Genoa
83.9%
Draw
16.1%
Empoli
0.0%
31
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