Roma

3 - 1

Genoa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.