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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
Parma logo

Roma
5 - 0
Parma

Dybala (8' pen., 51'), Saelemaekers (13'), Paredes (74' pen.), Dovbyk (83')
Angelino (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bonny (24'), Almqvist (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 4-1 Sampdoria
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Parma had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawParma
65.95% (0.048999999999992 0.05)19.42% (-0.004999999999999 -0)14.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.46% (-0.1 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)41.21% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.39% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)63.6% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.34% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)11.66% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)36.72% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.38% (-0.108 -0.11)40.61% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)77.21% (0.097000000000008 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Roma 65.94%
    Parma 14.62%
    Draw 19.43%
RomaDrawParma
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.83% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 4.21% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.81% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 65.94%
1-1 @ 9.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.43%
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 14.62%

How you voted: Roma vs Parma

Roma
86.4%
Draw
5.1%
Parma
8.5%
59
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 27
Parma
2-0
Roma
Mihaila (9'), Hernani (55' pen.)
Osorio (23'), Hernani (66'), Karamoh (90+3')

Peres (32'), Pellegrini (54'), Dzeko (69')
Nov 22, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 8
Roma
3-0
Parma
Mayoral (28'), Mkhitaryan (32', 40')
Jul 8, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 31
Roma
2-1
Parma
Jan 16, 2020 8.15pm
Round of 16
Parma
0-2
Roma

Laurini (37'), Dermaku (56')
Pellegrini (49', 76')
Under (54'), Pellegrini (57')
Nov 10, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 12
Parma
2-0
Roma
Sprocati (68'), Cornelius (93')
Scozzarella (24'), Barilla (75'), Hernani (76')

Zaniolo (11'), Kluivert (78')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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