

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Parma had a probability of 11.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Parma |
| 70.19% ( | 17.85% ( | 11.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.73% ( | 40.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% ( | 62.65% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.7% ( | 10.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.29% ( | 33.71% ( |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.94% ( | 44.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.83% ( | 80.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Parma |
| 2-0 @ 11.72% ( 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 4-0 @ 5.05% ( 4-1 @ 4.14% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 5-0 @ 2.3% ( 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 4.34% Total : 70.18% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 2-2 @ 3.94% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 17.85% | 0-1 @ 3.72% ( 1-2 @ 3.47% ( 0-2 @ 1.52% ( 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 1-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.23% Total : 11.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
