Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Dec 1, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
3 - 1
Lazio

Man (6'), Haj Mohamed (53'), Del Prato (90+1')
Keita (33'), Bonny (45+7'), Estevez (57'), Balogh (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Castellanos (80')
Rovella (30'), Gila (45+7'), Castellanos (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Parma and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 1-3 Atalanta
Saturday, November 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Lazio
24.03% ( 0.09)	24.14% ( 0.08)	51.82% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 53.49% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.97% (

-0.25)

48.02% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.8% (

-0.23)

70.19% (

0.23)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.64% (

-0.05)

34.35% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

-0.06)

71.05% (

0.05)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.48% (

-0.17)

18.51% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.25% (

-0.28)

49.74% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Parma 24.03%

Lazio 51.81%

Draw 24.14%

Parma	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.03%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.14%	0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 51.81%