Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Como had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Lazio |
34.58% (![]() | 27.27% (![]() | 38.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.45% (![]() | 55.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.28% (![]() | 76.72% (![]() |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.59% (![]() | 30.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.39% (![]() | 66.62% (![]() |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.76% (![]() | 28.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.05% (![]() | 63.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 10.22% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 12.92% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.59% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 10.86% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |