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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Como had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Lazio | 
| 34.58% (  0.22) | 27.27% (  0.13) | 38.14% (  -0.34) | 
| Both teams to score 49.93% (  -0.36) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.45% (  -0.47) | 55.55% (  0.47) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.28% (  -0.39) | 76.72% (  0.39) | 
| Como Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.59% (  -0.1) | 30.41% (  0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.39% (  -0.12) | 66.62% (  0.11) | 
| Lazio Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.76% (  -0.42) | 28.24% (  0.42) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.05% (  -0.54) | 63.95% (  0.53) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Como | Draw | Lazio | 
| 1-0 @ 10.22% (  0.16) 2-1 @ 7.69% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 6.08% (  0.08) 3-1 @ 3.05% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.41% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 1.93% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.91% (  -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 12.92% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 8.59% (  0.16) 2-2 @ 4.86% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 10.86% (  0.07) 1-2 @ 8.17% (  -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.87% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.45% (  -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.89% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.05% (  -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.09% (  -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.92% (  -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.14% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 | 
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 | 
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 | 
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 | 
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 | 
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 | 
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | 
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 | 
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 | 
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 | 
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 | 
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 | 
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
