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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 3
Como

Zappacosta (18'), Lookman (90+9' pen.)
de Roon (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Espeto (46'), Kolasinac (54' og.), Fadera (58')
Roberto (11'), Moreno (36'), Van Der Brempt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Arsenal
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Como 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, September 14 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Como

Even if Atalanta decide to rotate their squad after a busy start to the season, they have too much quality and top-flight know-how for a Como side that has shown few signs of adapting to the demands of Serie A. In a third consecutive home game following the renovation of their stadium, La Dea should serenely secure maximum points and build on a fine performance against Arsenal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Como had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawComo
50.11% (-2.669 -2.67) 24.9% (0.477 0.48) 24.98% (2.196 2.2)
Both teams to score 52.11% (0.94 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.27% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (-1.046 -1.05)20.09% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (-1.707 -1.71)52.34% (1.711 1.71)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (2.006 2.01)34.78% (-2.002 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (2.059 2.06)71.51% (-2.057 -2.06)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 50.11%
    Como 24.98%
    Draw 24.9%
Atalanta BCDrawComo
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.634 -0.63)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.511 -0.51)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.277 -0.28)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.201 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.375 0.38)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.444 0.44)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.393 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.265 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.161 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.98%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Como

Atalanta BC
92.6%
Draw
6.2%
Como
1.2%
337
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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