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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
3 - 2
Fiorentina

Retegui (21'), De Ketelaere (45'), Lookman (45+1')
Hien (27'), Zappacosta (82')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Martinez (15'), Kean (32')
Bove (17'), Mandragora (44'), Richardson (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Monza
Sunday, September 1 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
32.56% (0.064 0.06)25.52% (0.025000000000002 0.03)41.93% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.12% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)48.7% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)70.81% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94%64.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)23.09% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (-0.116 -0.12)56.93% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 32.56%
    Fiorentina 41.93%
    Draw 25.51%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.56%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.03% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC
65.9%
Draw
22.0%
Fiorentina
12.2%
82
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Lookman (12'), Scalvini (32')
Belotti (6', 45+1'), Gonzalez (19')
Martinez (75'), Ranieri (85')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Atalanta
4-1
Fiorentina
Koopmeiners (8'), Scamacca (75'), Lookman (90+4'), Pasalic (90+8')
Kolasinac (56'), Scamacca (80')
Martinez (68')
Mandragora (43'), Dodo (69')
Milenkovic (53')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Mandragora (31')
Mandragora (55'), Kouame (81')

Miranchuk (29'), de Roon (78'), Scamacca (89')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
Bonaventura (35'), Martinez (45'), Kouame (76')
Parisi (87')
Koopmeiners (20'), Lookman (53')
de Roon (34'), Zortea (65')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-1
Atalanta
Cabral (56' pen.)
Maehle (37')
> Preview