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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Atalanta

Djimsiti (4' og.), Barella (10'), Thuram (47', 56')
FT(HT: 2-0)

de Roon (45+1'), Retegui (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
54.47% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)23.02% (0.0019999999999989 0)22.5% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.28% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.102 0.1)44.76% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.099000000000004 0.1)67.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)16.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)45.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (0.151 0.15)33.92% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (0.165 0.16)70.59% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 54.47%
    Atalanta BC 22.5%
    Draw 23.02%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.02%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 22.5%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atalanta

Inter Milan
82.1%
Draw
14.0%
Atalanta BC
3.8%
235
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
4-0
Atalanta
Darmian (26'), Martinez (45+1'), Dimarco (54'), Frattesi (71')
Darmian (22'), Bastoni (76')

Ederson (45'), Djimsiti (53'), Hien (65'), Bakker (71'), Bilal Toure (89'), Lookman (90+5')
Nov 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
1-2
Inter Milan
Scamacca (61')
de Roon (26'), Kolasinac (35'), Piero Gasperini (40'), Toloi (85')
Toloi (90+2')
Calhanoglu (40' pen.), Martinez (57')
Dumfries (89')
May 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Inter Milan
3-2
Atalanta
Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')
Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Darmian (57')
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
2-3
Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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