Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 29.58% ( | 25.3% ( | 45.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% ( | 48.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% ( | 71.05% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( | 30.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.31% ( | 66.69% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( | 21.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.14% ( | 54.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 3-0 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0-2 @ 7.72% ( 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.11% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
