

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Lazio |
| 47.11% ( | 26.69% ( | 26.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.67% ( | 56.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.64% ( | 77.36% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( | 23.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.87% ( | 58.13% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% ( | 37.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.2% ( | 73.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 2-1 @ 9% ( 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 32 | 40 | 71 |
| 2 | Napoli | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 71 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 64 |
| 4 | Bologna | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Juventus | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 59 |
| 6 | Roma | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 57 |
| 7 | Lazio | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 9 | AC Milan | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Udinese | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Como | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 32 |
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Parma | 32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Lecce | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 26 |
| 18 | VeneziaVenezia | 33 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 25 |
| 19 | Empoli | 33 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 25 |
| 20 | Monza | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 15 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
