

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Juventus |
| 31.56% ( | 28.32% ( | 40.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.08% ( | 59.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.82% ( | 80.18% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% | 34.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.54% | 71.46% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.79% ( | 29.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.84% ( | 65.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 2% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.14% ( 2-2 @ 4.3% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 12.48% 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0-2 @ 7.68% ( 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 35 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 77 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 71 | 31 | 40 | 68 |
| 4 | Juventus | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 63 |
| 5 | Roma | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 63 |
| 6 | Lazio | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 63 |
| 7 | Bologna | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 62 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 60 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 59 |
| 10 | Como | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Torino | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 33 |
| 15 | Parma | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 32 |
| 16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 32 |
| 17 | Lecce | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 27 |
| 18 | VeneziaVenezia | 35 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 |
| 19 | Empoli | 35 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 25 |
| 20 | Monza | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 15 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
