MX23RW : Saturday, May 10 05:38:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
May 10, 2025 at 10.35am UK
Spotless Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Western Sydney
vs.
Victory

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-3 Western Sydney
Saturday, May 3 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, May 4 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers has a probability of 28.33% and a draw has a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win is 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.62%).

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne Victory
28.33% (-9.556 -9.56) 21.13% (-0.55 -0.55) 50.54% (10.108 10.11)
Both teams to score 68.48% (-2.165 -2.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.84% (-1.158 -1.16)30.16% (1.16 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.61% (-1.406 -1.41)51.38% (1.408 1.41)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-5.292 -5.29)21.74% (5.295 5.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-8.78 -8.78)54.92% (8.782 8.78)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (2.954 2.95)12.48% (-2.951 -2.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.54% (5.82 5.82)38.46% (-5.816 -5.82)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 28.33%
    Melbourne Victory 50.54%
    Draw 21.13%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.58% (-1.152 -1.15)
1-0 @ 4.14% (-0.441 -0.44)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.864 -0.86)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-1.305 -1.31)
2-0 @ 3.16% (-0.976 -0.98)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.881 -0.88)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.633 -0.63)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.822 -0.82)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.3 -0.3)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 8.62% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.84% (-0.379 -0.38)
0-0 @ 2.71% (0.175 0.18)
3-3 @ 2.41% (-0.292 -0.29)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.966 0.97)
1-3 @ 6.22% (1.237 1.24)
0-2 @ 5.88% (1.444 1.44)
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.904 0.9)
2-3 @ 4.74% (0.248 0.25)
0-3 @ 4.08% (1.314 1.31)
1-4 @ 3.24% (0.908 0.91)
2-4 @ 2.47% (0.368 0.37)
0-4 @ 2.12% (0.831 0.83)
1-5 @ 1.35% (0.476 0.48)
3-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.03% (0.242 0.24)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 50.54%

Who will win Thursday's Australian A-League clash between 4th position and 5th position?

4th position
Draw
5th position
4th position
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
5th position
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2025 8.30am
Gameweek 23
Western Sydney
4-2
Victory
Kraev (44'), Borrello (76'), Milanovic (87'), Antonsson (90+4')
Kraev (16'), Milanovic (88')
Velupillay (34'), Piscopo (41')
Jan 4, 2025 8.35am
Gameweek 12
Victory
2-2
Western Sydney
Miranda (29'), Teague (87' pen.)
Valadon (75')
Hammond (45'), Milanovic (76')
Clisby (33'), Priestman (41'), Badolato (76'), Cameron (90+2'), Milanovic (90')
Apr 27, 2024 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Victory
3-4
Western Sydney
Machach (4'), Arzani (15', 55')
Ikonomidis (7'), Chapman (17')
Brook (20'), Milanovic (35'), Hammond (73'), Priestman (87')
Priestman (19'), Clisby (45+3')
Dec 10, 2023 6am
Gameweek 7
Western Sydney
3-4
Victory
Antonsson (57' pen., 88'), Yuel (90+1')
Milanovic (71')
Fornaroli (8', 45+1', 51', 74')
Machach (32')
Apr 15, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 24
Western Sydney
2-1
Victory
Borrello (45+1'), Layouni (81')
Velupillay (56')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC26158349272253
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City26146641251648
3Western UnitedWestern Utd26145755371847
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney26137658401846
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2612774436843
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2610885355-238
7Sydney FCSydney FC2610795346737
8Macarthur2696115045533
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2686124344-130
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast26511102951-2226
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2666142743-1624
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2656153251-1921
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2645172256-3417
> Australian A-League Full Table


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