Australian A-League | Gameweek 29
May 4, 2025 at 8am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Victory1 - 1Newcastle Jets
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Victory
Friday, April 25 at 10.35am in Australian A-League
Friday, April 25 at 10.35am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 26 at 8am in Australian A-League
Saturday, April 26 at 8am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
42
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
66.44% ( -0.39) | 17.49% ( 0.15) | 16.07% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 63.74% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
