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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 29
May 4, 2025 at 8am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Victory
vs.
Newcastle Jets

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Victory
Friday, April 25 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 26 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 61.99%. A win for Newcastle Jets has a probability of 19.27% and a draw has a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win is 1-2 (4.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.76%).

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawNewcastle Jets
61.99% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 18.74% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 19.27% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 65.72% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.1% (0.10799999999999 0.11)28.9% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.15% (0.131 0.13)49.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.88% (0.025000000000006 0.03)9.12% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.05% (0.058000000000007 0.06)30.95% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (0.102 0.1)27.68% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (0.13 0.13)63.24% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 61.99%
    Newcastle Jets 19.27%
    Draw 18.74%
Melbourne VictoryDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.05% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.77% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.85% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.37% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 61.99%
1-1 @ 7.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 18.74%
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 19.27%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2025 6am
Gameweek 18
Newcastle Jets
3-0
Victory
Grozos (90+9' pen.), Taylor (90+14'), Rose (90+20')
Natta (21'), Bayliss (45+1')

Teague (44'), Traore (57'), Langerak (82')
Feb 3, 2024 7am
Gameweek 15
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Victory
Stamatelopoulos (88')
Miranda (20')
Da Silva (31'), Teague (87'), Chapman (90')
Oct 29, 2023 6am
Gameweek 2
Victory
5-3
Newcastle Jets
Fornaroli (8', 31', 40' pen., 45+3'), Velupillay (55')
Natta (6'), Taylor (49', 74')
Jenkinson (27'), Buhagiar (58')
Feb 12, 2023 4am
Gameweek 16
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Victory
Mikeltadze (37' pen.), Grozos (58')
Velupillay (51')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 5
Victory
4-0
Newcastle Jets
Brimmer (16' pen.), Ikonomidis (50'), D'Agostino (54'), Fornaroli (89' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC25158247232453
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City25136636241245
3Western UnitedWestern Utd25135751351644
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney25127655391643
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2512674335842
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2610885355-238
7Sydney FCSydney FC25107852411137
8Macarthur2596104942733
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2585124243-129
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2551192849-2126
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2566132741-1424
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2546153050-2018
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2535172056-3614
> Australian A-League Full Table


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