Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.