Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 74.22%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 11.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 3-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.