Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
58.33% (![]() | 20.43% (![]() | 21.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.72% (![]() | 34.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.82% (![]() | 56.18% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.36% (![]() | 11.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.33% (![]() | 36.67% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.86% (![]() | 29.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.93% (![]() | 65.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.67% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 8.99% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 5.55% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 21.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |