

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix | 
| 58.33% (  0.7) | 20.43% (  -0.02) | 21.23% (  -0.68) | 
| Both teams to score 62.62% (  -0.99) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.72% (  -0.83) | 34.28% (  0.83) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.82% (  -0.94) | 56.18% (  0.95) | 
| Sydney FC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.36% (  -0.07) | 11.64% (  0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.33% (  -0.16) | 36.67% (  0.16) | 
| Wellington Phoenix Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.86% (  -1.06) | 29.14% (  1.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.93% (  -1.33) | 65.07% (  1.33) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix | 
| 2-1 @ 9.67% (  0.08) 2-0 @ 7.84% (  0.29) 1-0 @ 7.29% (  0.29) 3-1 @ 6.94% (  0.04) 3-0 @ 5.62% (  0.19) 3-2 @ 4.28% (  -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.73% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 3.03% (  0.09) 4-2 @ 2.3% (  -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.61% (  -0) 5-0 @ 1.3% (  0.04) 5-2 @ 0.99% (  -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.95% (  -0.06) Other @ 2.79% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 8.99% (  0.1) 2-2 @ 5.96% (  -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.39% (  0.14) 3-3 @ 1.76% (  -0.1) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 5.55% (  -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.18% (  0.06) 0-2 @ 2.58% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.45% (  -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.28% (  -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.06% (  -0.05) Other @ 3.14% Total : 21.23% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 | 
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 | 
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 | 
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 | 
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