

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 58.33% ( | 20.43% ( | 21.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.72% ( | 34.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.82% ( | 56.18% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.36% ( | 11.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.33% ( | 36.67% ( |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( | 29.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.93% ( | 65.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-2 @ 4.28% ( 4-1 @ 3.73% ( 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 5-2 @ 0.99% ( 4-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 21.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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