

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 45.57% ( | 22.85% ( | 31.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.31% ( | 36.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.15% ( | 58.85% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% ( | 16.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.64% ( | 46.36% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( | 23.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.06% ( | 56.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.98% ( 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 4.44% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
