Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
45.57% (![]() | 22.85% (![]() | 31.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.31% (![]() | 36.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.15% (![]() | 58.85% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.43% (![]() | 16.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.64% (![]() | 46.36% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% (![]() | 23.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% (![]() | 56.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.06% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 4.44% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 7.39% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |