

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets | 
| 48.89% (  0.43) | 21.42% (  -0.07) | 29.69% (  -0.36) | 
| Both teams to score 68.44% (  0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 69.36% (  0.13) | 30.63% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 48.04% (  0.16) | 51.95% (  -0.15) | 
| Adelaide United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.84% (  0.19) | 13.16% (  -0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.16% (  0.37) | 39.84% (  -0.37) | 
| Newcastle Jets Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.8% (  -0.14) | 21.19% (  0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.93% (  -0.21) | 54.07% (  0.22) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets | 
| 2-1 @ 8.9% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 6.02% (  0.05) 2-0 @ 5.74% (  0.04) 1-0 @ 5.66% (  -0) 3-2 @ 4.67% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 3.88% (  0.05) 4-1 @ 3.05% (  0.05) 4-2 @ 2.37% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 1.97% (  0.04) 5-1 @ 1.24% (  0.03) 4-3 @ 1.22% (  0.01) 5-2 @ 0.96% (  0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.89% | 1-1 @ 8.77% (  -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.9% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.79% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.41% (  0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 6.81% (  -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.33% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.57% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.52% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.36% (  -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.74% (  -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.39% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% (  -0.02) 3-4 @ 0.94% (  -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.69% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 | 
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 | 
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 | 
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 | 
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
