Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.