

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 41.13% ( | 23% ( | 35.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.95% ( | 36.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.84% ( | 58.16% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( | 18.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.97% ( | 49.03% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( | 20.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.02% ( | 52.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 3-2 @ 3.88% ( 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 4-0 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.84% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 2-2 @ 6.81% 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 3-3 @ 2.05% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 10 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
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