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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Yanmar Stadion
Heracles Almelo
Almere City
0 - 5
Heracles
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sankoh (4', 64', 87'), Nankishi (71', 78')
Roosken (19'), Ouahim (62'), Wieckhoff (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 4-1 Heracles
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 2-2 Heracles

These sides were in contrasting forms ahead of the international break, with the hosts unbeaten in five while the visitors were winless over the same period. For Heracles, the break could not have come at a better time, as it would have given them a chance to reset and address their shortcomings heading into the busy period. We are expecting a free-flowing match here but feel that these sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawHeracles
36.86% (-0.892 -0.89) 24.23% (0.3 0.3) 38.91% (0.596 0.6)
Both teams to score 60.59% (-1.177 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.01% (-1.511 -1.51)41.99% (1.515 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.6% (-1.536 -1.54)64.4% (1.538 1.54)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (-1.131 -1.13)22.68% (1.134 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68% (-1.706 -1.71)56.32% (1.71 1.71)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.369 -0.37)21.64% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-0.572 -0.57)54.76% (0.57400000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 36.86%
    Heracles 38.91%
    Draw 24.22%
Almere CityDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.28% (0.249 0.25)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 36.86%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.325 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.419 0.42)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.259 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.91%

How you voted: Almere City vs Heracles

Almere City
62.5%
Draw
37.5%
Heracles
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Heracles
1-1
Almere City
Laursen (45+3')
Pena (32')
Oct 28, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 13
Almere City
3-2
Heracles
Resink (48'), Alhaft (49'), Jacobs (67')
Armenteros (5'), Hansson (25')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1717005975251
2Feyenoord17123250163439
3FC Twente17114236201637
4AZ AlkmaarAZ17103436162033
5Ajax178453832628
6Sparta RotterdamSparta177462422225
7Go Ahead Eagles176562826223
8NECNijmegen175753330322
9Heerenveen176292632-620
10PEC Zwolle175482530-519
11Fortuna SittardSittard175481730-1319
12Almere CityAlmere City175481934-1519
13FC UtrechtUtrecht174671726-918
14Heracles175392240-1818
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior173862835-717
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1742111630-1414
17Vitesse1733111237-2512
18FC VolendamVolendam1732121841-2311

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