
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.93%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
| 57.93% ( | 20.73% ( | 21.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.43% ( | 35.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.38% ( | 57.62% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.85% ( | 12.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.23% ( | 37.77% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( | 29.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.15% ( | 65.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 3-1 @ 6.84% ( 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 5-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0-1 @ 4.38% ( 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3% Total : 21.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
