

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
| 35.86% ( | 25.72% ( | 38.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( | 48.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( | 71.07% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( | 26.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.37% ( | 61.63% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( | 25.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.31% ( | 59.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 38.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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