Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 37.6% ( | 25.77% ( | 36.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( | 49.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.77% ( | 71.23% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( | 25.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.59% ( | 60.41% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( | 26.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.84% ( | 61.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.6% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
| 2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 23 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
| 17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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