

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | NEC |
| 50.26% ( | 24.23% ( | 25.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( | 47.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( | 69.34% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( | 18.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.83% ( | 50.17% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( | 32.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.86% ( | 69.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-2 @ 3% ( 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 4-0 @ 2% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.25% Total : 50.25% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Twente | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 17 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Heracles | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Ajax | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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