Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.99%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
| 82.57% ( | 11.09% ( | 6.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.78% ( | 25.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.79% ( | 45.21% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.53% ( | 4.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 81.65% ( | 18.35% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.94% ( | 45.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.02% ( | 80.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
| 3-0 @ 10.07% ( 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 3-1 @ 8.03% ( 4-0 @ 7.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 4-1 @ 6.24% ( 5-0 @ 4.87% ( 5-1 @ 3.88% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 6-0 @ 2.52% ( 4-2 @ 2.49% ( 6-1 @ 2.01% ( 5-2 @ 1.55% ( 7-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 5.03% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 4.99% ( 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0-0 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 1% Total : 11.09% | 1-2 @ 1.99% ( 0-1 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 6.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
| 3 | Ajax | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 55 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 32 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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