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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 82.36%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
82.36% (![]() | 11.33% (![]() | 6.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.19% (![]() | 26.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.73% (![]() | 47.27% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.21% (![]() | 4.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.66% (![]() | 19.34% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.51% (![]() | 46.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.9% (![]() | 82.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
3-0 @ 10.42% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.88% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 4.34% Total : 82.35% | 1-1 @ 5.18% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.33% | 1-2 @ 1.99% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 6.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
2 | Ajax | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 55 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 69 | 31 | 38 | 53 |
5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 34 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 32 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
14 | Vitesse | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 21 |
17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 16 |
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