| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 | 
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 | 
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 82.36%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC | 
| 82.36% (  -0.52) | 11.33% (  0.28) | 6.31% (  0.24) | 
| Both teams to score 50.95% (  0.28) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 73.19% (  -0.4) | 26.81% (  0.41) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 52.73% (  -0.51) | 47.27% (  0.52) | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 95.21% (  -0.15) | 4.79% (  0.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 80.66% (  -0.48) | 19.34% (  0.48) | 
| NEC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 53.51% (  0.38) | 46.49% (  -0.38) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.9% (  0.29) | 82.1% (  -0.28) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC | 
| 3-0 @ 10.42% (  -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.28% (  0.03) 3-1 @ 7.99% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 7.93% (  -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.88% (  0.11) 1-0 @ 6.77% (  0.1) 4-1 @ 6.07% (  -0.05) 5-0 @ 4.82% (  -0.14) 5-1 @ 3.69% (  -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.06% (  0.04) 6-0 @ 2.44% (  -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.33% (  0.01) 6-1 @ 1.87% (  -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.41% (  -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.06% (  -0.06) Other @ 4.34% Total : 82.35% | 1-1 @ 5.18% (  0.13) 2-2 @ 3.02% (  0.07) 0-0 @ 2.23% (  0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.33% | 1-2 @ 1.99% (  0.07) 0-1 @ 1.7% (  0.06) Other @ 2.62% Total : 6.31% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 | 
| 2 | Ajax | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 55 | 
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 | 
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 69 | 31 | 38 | 53 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 | 
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 34 | 
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 32 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 | 
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 | 
| 14 | Vitesse | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 21 | 
| 17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 | 
| 18 | Cambuur | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 16 | 
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