| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 14.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 14.9% ( | 20.13% ( | 64.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( | 43.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( | 66.2% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.15% ( | 41.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.69% ( | 78.31% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.29% ( | 12.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.07% ( | 38.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 4.63% ( 2-1 @ 4.16% ( 2-0 @ 2.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.25% ( 3-1 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.9% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.29% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.13% | 0-2 @ 11.31% ( 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0-3 @ 7.78% ( 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-4 @ 4.01% ( 1-4 @ 3.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0-5 @ 1.66% ( 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 1-5 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 64.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 15 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 16 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | NEC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | SBV Excelsior | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 |
| 11 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Groningen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | FC VolendamVolendam | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 0 |
| 18 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 0 |
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