Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match.