| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
| 49.39% ( | 25.11% ( | 25.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.24% ( | 50.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% ( | 72.65% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( | 20.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.91% ( | 53.09% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% ( | 34.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.7% ( | 71.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.49% |