| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 55.21% ( | 23.09% ( | 21.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( | 45.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( | 68.27% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( | 16.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.75% ( | 46.25% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% ( | 35.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.9% ( | 72.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 5-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.2% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.08% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 15 | 36 | 56 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
| 3 | Roma | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 40 |
| 4 | Lazio | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 38 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Torino | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 30 |
| 8 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 29 |
| 9 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
| 10 | Monza | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 26 |
| 11 | Empoli | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 23 |
| 14 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 23 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 36 | -26 | 10 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 21 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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