The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 AC Milan
With such a reliable front three, Verona should be fancied to break down even Milan's steadfast back four at some stage, but that may not prove enough to taste victory at the final whistle, given their visitors have lost only a single Serie A away game. The Rossoneri have not been prolific of late, but having Ibrahimovic back on the bench offers an invaluable option to mix things up if the game remains deadlocked in the tense final stages. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
26.85% ( -1.23) | 24.16% ( 0.07) | 48.98% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
