Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 25.48% ( | 27.11% ( | 47.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.71% ( | 58.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.08% ( | 78.92% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.28% ( | 38.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.54% ( | 75.46% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( | 24.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.84% ( | 59.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 2-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-1 @ 1.9% ( 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 3-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.53% Total : 25.48% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0-0 @ 9.54% ( 2-2 @ 4.21% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0-2 @ 9.36% ( 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leyton Orient | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 87 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 76 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
| 6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
| 7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 72 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
| 10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 58 |
| 11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
| 13 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 55 |
| 14 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 53 |
| 15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
| 16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
| 17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 51 |
| 19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 45 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
| R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
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