

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 51.31% ( | 23.29% ( | 25.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( | 43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( | 65.4% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( | 16.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.18% ( | 46.81% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% ( | 30.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.28% ( | 66.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.31% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 66 | 40 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 57 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 34 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 31 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 31 |
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