

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath | 
| 50.36% (  0.16) | 23.95% (  -0.04) | 25.69% (  -0.12) | 
| Both teams to score 55.87% (  0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.3% (  0.1) | 45.69% (  -0.1) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.98% (  0.09) | 68.01% (  -0.09) | 
| Raith Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.8% (  0.1) | 18.19% (  -0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.8% (  0.17) | 49.19% (  -0.17) | 
| Arbroath Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.29% (  -0.04) | 31.7% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.87% (  -0.05) | 68.12% (  0.05) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath | 
| 1-0 @ 9.83% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 8.38% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 5.47% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 4.76% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 2.03% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.34% (  0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.29% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.2% (  0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.63% (  -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.49% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.81% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.48% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% (  -0) 0-3 @ 1.46% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 25.69% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 66 | 40 | 26 | 63 | 
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 58 | 
| 3 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 58 | 
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 57 | 
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 | 
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 43 | 
| 8 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 34 | 
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 31 | 
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 31 | 
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