Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 24.64% ( | 26.46% ( | 48.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.46% ( | 56.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.47% ( | 77.53% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( | 38.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.75% ( | 75.24% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( | 23.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.93% ( | 57.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 2-1 @ 5.94% ( 2-0 @ 4.07% ( 3-1 @ 1.89% ( 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 3-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.64% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 2-2 @ 4.34% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 13.04% ( 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 58 |
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 45 | 14 | 57 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 52 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 51 |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 51 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 33 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 29 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 27 |
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