Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers | 
| 24.64% (  -0.06) | 26.46% (  -0.04) | 48.9% (  0.1) | 
| Both teams to score 47.25% (  0.06) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.46% (  0.1) | 56.54% (  -0.1) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.47% (  0.08) | 77.53% (  -0.08) | 
| Arbroath Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.5% (  0) | 38.5% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.75% (  0) | 75.24% (  -0) | 
| Raith Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.82% (  0.09) | 23.18% (  -0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.93% (  0.13) | 57.07% (  -0.13) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers | 
| 1-0 @ 8.52% (  -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.94% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.07% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.89% (  -0) 3-2 @ 1.38% (  0) 3-0 @ 1.29% (  -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.64% | 1-1 @ 12.45% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.92% (  -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.34% (  0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 13.04% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.54% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 9.1% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 4.65% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 4.44% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 2.12% (  0.01) 0-4 @ 1.7% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 1.62% (  0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.89% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 58 | 
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 45 | 14 | 57 | 
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 52 | 
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 51 | 
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 51 | 
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 48 | 
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 42 | 
| 8 | Arbroath | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 33 | 
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 29 | 
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 27 | 
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