Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 47.38% ( | 26.32% ( | 26.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.08% ( | 54.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% ( | 76.21% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( | 23.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.93% ( | 57.07% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( | 36.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.06% ( | 72.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 2-2 @ 4.63% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 26.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 57 |
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 51 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 48 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 47 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 32 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 29 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 27 |
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