Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Gateshead |
35.4% (![]() | 25.21% (![]() | 39.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.85% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.23% (![]() | 46.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.97% (![]() | 69.03% (![]() |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.33% (![]() | 25.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.42% (![]() | 60.59% (![]() |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% (![]() | 23.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% (![]() | 57.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Gateshead |
1-0 @ 8.21% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.74% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
P | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
R | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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