Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Lens |
17.96% (![]() | 24.07% (![]() | 57.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.36% (![]() | 54.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% (![]() | 75.97% (![]() |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.61% (![]() | 44.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.56% (![]() | 80.44% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% (![]() | 18.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.98% (![]() | 50.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 6.73% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.96% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 8.29% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.85% ( ![]() Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 13.91% 0-2 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 9.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.3% 0-4 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.92% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |