Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
| 42.47% ( | 23.57% | 33.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.69% ( | 39.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.36% ( | 61.64% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( | 18.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.67% ( | 50.33% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( | 22.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.2% ( | 56.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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