Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lens had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lens win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 16.7% ( | 20.57% ( | 62.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.72% ( | 42.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.32% ( | 64.68% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% | 38.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.68% ( | 75.32% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( | 12.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.72% ( | 39.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 4.73% ( 2-1 @ 4.62% ( 2-0 @ 2.26% ( 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-1 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.7% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.57% | 0-2 @ 10.43% 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0-3 @ 7.13% ( 1-3 @ 6.79% ( 0-4 @ 3.65% ( 1-4 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 1-5 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 62.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
